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NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last year, but both motorists are going to take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the course last season. This weekend, if Harvick were to win, he’d join an elite group, becoming just the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races in a single track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances to win 2019 NASCAR Cup Series championship

In three of those previous four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win throughout last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.

Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at these racks. Busch has won 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire and the previous two races in Richmond. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the past six races in Richmond.

But unlike in those preceding races, all motorists will use a new car setup implemented by NASCAR, one different from that which we watched the previous two weeks in Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season teams will use a spacer — and no ducts — for the very first time. They’ll use a engine at Phoenix instead of the engine at Vegas. NASCAR expects to find a car using a faster response time around the throttle. The new package could close the gap Harvick and Busch have experienced on the area.

So much in 2 races with NASCAR rules bundle, Ford has led 65 percent of their laps and contains five consecutive period wins. Ford driver Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will soon be a sleeper driver to watch this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar layout final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth in last season’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him in a matchup with Kyle Larson in -110.

MORE: How to win betting on NASCAR in 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds Supplied by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (others) 500/1

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